All vikis
Aion 2
Ananta
ARC Raiders
ArcheAge Chronicles
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4
Chrono Odyssey
Civilization 3
Civilization 4
Crimson Desert
Deadlock
Diablo 4
Diablo 5
Enshrouded
Fable
Final Fantasy Resonance
Grand Theft Auto 6
Heroes of Might and Magic 3
Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era
Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2
Path of Exile 2
Phantom Blade Zero
Slay the Spire 2
SoulframeStarting Scenarios
Probably Stolen has nine starting scenarios: Apprentice, Water Merchant, Fence, Gunsmith, Chemist, Hydroponic Farmer, Aquafarmer, Rat Wrangler and Rock Bottom. Pick Apprentice first.
Probably Stolen has nine starting scenarios; pick the Apprentice first, the studio's choice for beginners, since it teaches every system.
The nine
| Scenario | Starts with | The studio's words |
|---|---|---|
| Apprentice | Extra credits, a Storage Bay, Household Goods and Food | "Best for beginners. Be a generalist." |
| Water Merchant | Water gear; see Water Trading | "Test, purify, re-label. Or not. Liability is yours." |
| Fence | Not itemized by the studio | "Stolen goods. Move fast, stay invisible." |
| Gunsmith | Class 1 weapon permit, firearms and ammunition, and a 3D printer | "Weapons & mods. High margins, security inspections." |
| Chemist | Chemistry lab equipment | "Profitable chemicals, closely guarded recipes." |
| Hydroponic Farmer | Hydroponic machines and farming supplies, with increased rent | "Grow crops in a limited space." |
| Aquafarmer | Tilapia and recirculating aquaculture systems; see Aquafarming | "Breed fish." |
| Rat Wrangler | Rats; formerly a secret scenario | "Can you grow a healthy 2x3 rat?" |
| Rock Bottom | Nothing; see Rock Bottom | "Nothing. Start from scratch. Maximum difficulty." |
Counts in the press vary: DualShockers says 12 Specializations and AllThingsHow 10, while the studio lists nine. Starting Rat Wrangler is the We Have Rats! achievement, which calls it "the hidden scenario."
Each trade's danger
The store sums it up: weapons bring inspections, chemicals bring addiction, water brings liability, and contraband brings raids. A customer's friend dying from your water is a real risk, as a store image shows.
Which to pick after the Apprentice
The Rat Wrangler starts with an animal cage, rats and food, as TheNeomare's August playtest video shows.
As of Oct 31, 2026, dedicated guides are few. Aquaculture is slower-paced and more beginner-friendly than Rat Ranching, per the studio. The Fence and the Gunsmith carry the most Security risk. Three more are promised: Junker, Organ Trader and Street Food Vendor; see the Roadmap.
Frequently asked questions
How many starting scenarios does Probably Stolen have? Probably Stolen has nine at launch, with three more promised.
What is the best starting scenario in Probably Stolen? The Apprentice for a first run, as Probably Stolen itself recommends.
What is the secret scenario in Probably Stolen? The Rat Wrangler, hidden in the playtest until Aug 7, 2026, and now visible with the others.
Sources
- Opening October 28: What's in Store for 1.0 Release?, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild on Steam, Oct 21, 2026
- Probably Stolen is OUT NOW!, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild on Steam, Oct 28, 2026
- Probably Stolen Review: A Repetitive, Futuristic Shopkeeping Simulator, DualShockers (Eric Warner), Oct 28, 2026
- 500,000 Wishlists!, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild on Steam, Oct 27, 2026
- Water Balance & Hotfix - 1.0.0.2, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild on Steam, Oct 28, 2026
- Playtest Patch 48.3.12 - The Rat Wrangler, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild on Steam, Aug 7, 2026
- Probably Stolen Guide: Every Step From Day 1 to Buying the Store, AllThingsHow, Oct 29, 2026
- Global achievements for Probably Stolen, Steam, read Oct 31, 2026
- Probably Stolen - Cyberpunk Shopkeeper Sim, Steam, read Oct 31, 2026
- Demo Update - Aquafarmer, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild on Steam, Oct 19, 2026
- Fresh Run - Perks - Rats - Revolution Supporter | Week 1 | Probably Stolen - Rat Wrangler - Ep1, TheNeomare, Aug 15, 2026 (video)
Moments
Fresh Run - Perks - Rats - Revolution Supporter | Week 1 | Probably Stolen - Rat Wrangler - Ep1
TheNeomare
Photos
Related
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Security and ContrabandSecurity in Probably Stolen inspects at random and builds a case from your crimes: 300 credits of evidence means arrest and 1,500 means execution. Hide contraband in a Smuggler's Bay, or bribe.
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- AchievementsProbably Stolen has 21 Steam achievements, from Lower Levels Special for using the labeler to From Nothing, the Hard Way, held by 0.4% of players on Oct 31, 2026.
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- ControlsProbably Stolen controls: Q and E rotate, F flips, O shows hints, B rings the bell, Ctrl-click transfers, a drag selects many, and 1 to 9 pick tools from the Toolbox.
See also
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Rock BottomRock Bottom is Probably Stolen's hardest start: no stock and no credits. Winning it is the From Nothing achievement, earned by 0.6% of players so far. GitM's survivor picked Savings, Sawyer's Crew and Vigilant.
- RoadmapQuesting Goose promises free updates to Probably Stolen: Junker, Organ Trader and Street Food Vendor scenarios, Expeditions, new appraisal items and an expanded main story. None has a date as of Oct 31, 2026.
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